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17 May 2022

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drops on Fed's Powell's hawkish WSJ Q&A

  • Gold goes offered on a hawkish Powell as the US dollar rallies. 
  • The US dollar has popped out of a 15-min wedge formation to the upside. 

The gold price was changing hands between the bulls and the bears during the Federal Reserve's chairman Jerome Powell's interview with the Wall Street Journal. At the time of writing, as the event concludes, XAU/USD is trading offered as the US dollar picks up a bid. The yellow metal is down some 0.48% at $1,815.50, falling from a high of $1,836.15 on the day printing a low of $1,813.74. 

The US Dollar Currency Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, was down 0.82% at 103.33, a touch away from the low of 103.226 ahead of the Powell event:

On hawkish rhetoric, the price has rallied out of the containment of the wedge formation as follows:

While well off the two-decade high made last week, which was made on the heels of strong inflation data and supported by a hawkish Federal Reserve, as well as worries over the global economic fallout from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the bulls are stepping in again. As a consequence, the price of gold is suffering. 

''A failure to confirm the early morning strength would see CTA selling resume course to a large net short position,'' analysts at TD Securities argued. 

''With the Fed telegraphing their every move, Fedspeak will be increasingly important this week, particularly as bearish sentiment continues to undermine positioning. In turn, we continue to expect substantial selling flow to weigh on the yellow metal when liquidity is scarce.''

Gold technical analysis

The failure to close above a 61.8% ratio leaves the outlook bearish, in line with the broader bearish trend:

May 17, 2022

EUR/JPY rallies and settles around 136.20s post hawkish ECB comments

The common currency is rallying during the day, and it remains the gainer in the FX complex on Tuesday, to the detriment of safe-haven peers, which ar
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May 17, 2022

Fed Powell offers nothing new, risk assets move back into positive territories

In a Wall Street Journal interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Tuesday that US central bank officials will keep tightening policy unt
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