Back

AUD/USD clings to strong recovery gains amid falling US bond yields

The AUD/USD pair was seen building on to its recovery move and has now reversed majority of previous session's losses to fresh 4-month lows.

Currently trading around 0.7375-80 band, the pair held on to daily gains despite of some renewed US Dollar buying interest. Traders also seemed to have shrugged off a mildly negative tone surrounding copper prices, which derives demand for commodity-linked currencies, including the Australian Dollar.

   •  Copper: Secondary surge masks tightening market – Standard Chartered

The pair's up-move lacked any fundamental drivers and hence, could be categorized as a technical bounce from slightly near-term oversold territory. A sharp pull-back in the US treasury bond yields seems to be the sole factor prompted traders to lighten their bearish bets around higher-yielding currencies - like the Aussie.

However, with investors starting to price-in an eventual June Fed rate-hike, it would be interesting to see if the current pull-back is backed by any genuine buying or is solely led by short-covering, which might run into fresh supply at higher levels. 

   •  AUD: Little to recommend - AmpGFX

Next on tap would be the release of export / import price index from the US ahead of Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren speech, which would be looked upon for fresh clues over the central bank's near-term monetary policy outlook.

Technical levels to watch

Any further recovery move is likely to confront resistance near the 0.7400 handle, above which a fresh bout of short-covering has the potential to continue boosting the pair further towards 0.7425-30 resistance en-route 0.7460 strong hurdle. 

On the flip side, retracement back below mid-0.7300s now seems to find support near 0.7335-30 area, which if broken would turn the pair vulnerable to accelerate the slide towards the 0.7300 handle before eventually dropping to test its next support near 0.7285-80 horizontal level.

ECB: Draghi’s speech in focus – Lloyds Bank

Analysts at Lloyds Bank point out that ECB head Mario Draghi will speak to the Dutch parliament today and will be the key event for today. Key Quotes
Baca selengkapnya Previous

USD/CHF focus is now on 1.0140 – Commerzbank

In view of Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, the pair should now shift its attention to the 1.0140 area. Key Quotes “USD/
Baca selengkapnya Next